BUF at HOU
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Week 1 2026 power ratings, computed from 2025 season stats.
It makes HOU the better side by 0.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Scoring offence
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defence
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2025
| Split | BUF | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 · 8-9 · 9-8 | 12-5 · 9-8 · 6-11 |
| At home | 7-2 · 4-5 · 6-3 | 7-2 · 5-4 · 4-5 |
| On the road | 5-3 · 4-4 · 3-5 | 5-3 · 4-4 · 2-6 |
| As favourite | 10-5 · 6-9 · 8-7 | 7-2 · 4-5 · 4-5 |
| As underdog | 5-3 · 5-3 · 2-6 | |
| In division | 4-2 · 3-3 · 3-3 | 5-1 · 3-3 · 2-4 |
| Out of division | 8-3 · 5-6 · 6-5 | 7-4 · 6-5 · 4-7 |
| Pick'em (±3) | 4-1 · 4-1 · 2-3 | 5-4 · 5-4 · 3-6 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | 3-2 · 2-3 · 2-3 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | 5-2 · 2-5 · 5-2 |
Straight up · against the spread · over-under. Splits with fewer than 5 games are not shown.
Season to date — 2025
| Metric | BUF | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 371 | 319 |
| Passing | 200 | 184 |
| Rushing | 148 | 106 |
| From penalties | 26 | 34 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 95 of 205 | 87 of 230 |
| Fourth down | 19 of 32 | 11 of 19 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 6,695 | 5,808 |
| Total plays | 1,065 | 1,078 |
| Yards per play | 6.3 | 5.4 |
| Drives | 175 | 193 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 3,981 | 3,956 |
| Completions | 344-544 | 364-618 |
| Yards per pass | 7.3 | 6.4 |
| Touchdowns | 29 | 24 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 9 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 40 (298) | 31 (249) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 2,714 | 1,852 |
| Attempts | 547 | 476 |
| Yards per rush | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Touchdowns | 30 | 9 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 44 of 85 | 25 of 69 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 101 (848) | 118 (989) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 18 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | 8 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 10 | 9 |
Full-season totals from the 2025 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 12 BUF 19, HOU 23 HOU won
- 2024 wk 5 BUF 20, HOU 23 HOU won
- 2021 wk 4 HOU 0, BUF 40 BUF won
- 2018 wk 6 BUF 13, HOU 20 HOU won
Before the game
No write-up has been published for this game yet.