week 5 Archives - NFL Lines

2025 NFL Week 5 Picks & Predictions The Algorithm dropped the ball in week 4, going a pedestrian like 7 - 9. Starting in week 5, all team power ratings are generated from solely 2025 stats. As a result, all picks and selections are also based on only 2025 stats. Week 4 Against The Spread 7 - 9 2025 Season 34 - 30 Algorithm Lifetime Record 2025: 34 – 30 (53.16%) 2024: 136 -128 – 8 (51.52%) 2023: 127 -103 – 10 (55.22%) Lifetime: 297 – 261 – 18 (53.23%) 2025 NFL Week 5 Free Game Picks – Spreads – Teams – Power Ratings – Vegas Line Errors 2025 NFL Week 5 Free Game Picks – Spreads – Teams – Power Ratings – Vegas Line Errors Week 5 Line Error Picks Denver - 6.28 point error Carolina - 5.72 point error Jacksonville - 5.58 point errer NY Jets - 4.82 point error There are four games on the week 5 schedule with line errors of 4 points or more. Be sure to check injuries reports and weather before betting blindly on statistics. 2025 NFL Favorite Underdog Home Away ATS stright up 2025 NFL Favorite Underdog Home Away ATS stright up The NFLlines.com Algorithm The NFL Lines Algorithm uses the current season NFL stats to generate power ratings for each team. Then it uses the power ratings to predict games against the Las Vegas Spread. Home teams are awarded 2.5 points for home field advantage. Vegas spread is the line on the game. It is relative to the home team. A Vegas spread listed as negative means the home team is favored. A Vegas spread listed as positive means the home team is an underdog. The difference between the Algorithm’s point spread and the Vegas point spread is the spread error. A negative spread error means the Algorithm likes the home team. A positive spread error means the Algortihm favors the away team. NFL Week 4 vs. Spread Favorites 6 - 10 Season 33 – 31 Home 5 - 10 - 1 Season 25 – 37 Neutral Games – 2 (Team Listed Home is 2 – 0) NFL Week 4 Straight Up Favorites 6 - 9 - 1 Season 43 - 20 – 1 Home 10 - 5 - 1 Season 37 – 25 Neutral Games – 2 (Underdog is 2 – 0) 2025 NFL Vegas Line Error record 2025 NFL Vegas Line Error record The Algorithm bases all team power ratings and game picks on statistics only. The Algorithm cannot see weather. The Algorithm cannot see injuries. The Algorithm cannot see roster moves. The Algorithm cannot see momentum, karma, or desire. Accumulated Stats Don’t Change Due To Injury The Algorithm cannot do this because the statistics from last week and the week before don’t change because someone was injured. In theory, the stats were impacted by their absence. But if you have 10 weeks of stats with a QB playing and then he is hurt in week 11, the stats of that week 11 game when blended in with the other 10 games are not diminished enough to show the true loss in team power rating. This is why this warning is posted frequently during the season along with this advice: You should other handicapping sources and statistics in addition to The Algorithm’s ratings and picks before wagering on any of The Algorithm’s selections.

2025 NFL Week 5 Free Game Picks – Spreads – Teams – Power Ratings – Vegas Line Errors

NFL 2024 – WEEK 5 Power Ratings, Spreads & Predictions