Buffalo Bills — Own Fumble Rec, 2026

Value1
Rank#6 of 32
League average0.61
Rank in 2025#17 of 32

Buffalo Bills — every stat for 2026, ranked →

What Own Fumble Rec is

Own fumbles the offense recovered itself — the ball came out but the team kept it. Mostly luck.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Packers lead at 1.40; the league average is 0.61.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

GB · 1.40

League average

0.61

Best to worst

1.40

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

GB · 1.40

League laggard

CIN · 0

League average

0.61

Spread (max − min)

1.40

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	GB	1.40	0.79	100%
2	CLE	1.20	0.59	96.8%
3	DEN	1.20	0.59	93.5%
4	DET	1.20	0.59	90.3%
5	NYJ	1.20	0.59	87.1%
6	BUF	1	0.39	83.9%
7	SEA	1	0.39	80.6%
8	JAX	0.80	0.19	77.4%
9	LAC	0.80	0.19	74.2%
10	LV	0.80	0.19	71%
11	WAS	0.80	0.19	67.7%
12	KC	0.75	0.14	64.5%
13	ATL	0.60	-0.01	61.3%
14	HOU	0.60	-0.01	58.1%
15	MIA	0.60	-0.01	54.8%
16	NE	0.60	-0.01	51.6%
17	NYG	0.60	-0.01	48.4%
18	PHI	0.60	-0.01	45.2%
19	CHI	0.40	-0.21	41.9%
20	LAR	0.40	-0.21	38.7%
21	MIN	0.40	-0.21	35.5%
22	NO	0.40	-0.21	32.3%
23	PIT	0.40	-0.21	29%
24	TB	0.40	-0.21	25.8%
25	TEN	0.40	-0.21	22.6%
26	CAR	0.25	-0.36	19.4%
27	DAL	0.20	-0.41	16.1%
28	IND	0.20	-0.41	12.9%
29	SF	0.20	-0.41	9.7%
30	ARI	0	-0.61	6.5%
31	BAL	0	-0.61	3.2%
32	CIN	0	-0.61	0%

Does Own Fumble Rec matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 785–793–37 ATS (49.7%) across 2020–2025, #256 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2021 (141–129, 52.2%); its worst 2025 (127–142, 47.2%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	132–122–2	52.0%
2021	272	141–129–2	52.2%
2022	271	132–132–7	50.0%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	125–138–9	47.5%
2025	272	127–142–3	47.2%

Own Fumble Rec in 2026 vs 2025

Packers lead at 1.40 — they ranked #9 last year. Bengals are last at 0 — #26 last year.

The league average is 0.61, up 0.15 from 0.45 last year.

Biggest riser: Broncos, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Buccaneers, #4 → #24.

Spread between first and last: 1.40; 19 teams are within 0.38 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DEN · +1.02

Biggest faller

BAL · −0.41

Most consistent

KC · −0.01

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▲ 0.15

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	DEN	1.20	0.18	+1.02
2	DET	1.20	0.18	+1.02
3	GB	1.40	0.59	+0.81
4	CLE	1.20	0.41	+0.79
5	NYJ	1.20	0.41	+0.79
6	BUF	1	0.41	+0.59
7	JAX	0.80	0.35	+0.45
8	LV	0.80	0.35	+0.45
9	SEA	1	0.59	+0.41
10	HOU	0.60	0.24	+0.36
11	LAC	0.80	0.47	+0.33
12	NYG	0.60	0.29	+0.31
13	PHI	0.60	0.35	+0.25
14	LAR	0.40	0.24	+0.16
15	WAS	0.80	0.65	+0.15
16	ATL	0.60	0.47	+0.13
17	NO	0.40	0.35	+0.05
18	TEN	0.40	0.35	+0.05
19	KC	0.75	0.76	−0.01
20	NE	0.60	0.65	−0.05
21	PIT	0.40	0.47	−0.07
22	MIA	0.60	0.71	−0.11
23	ARI	0	0.18	−0.18
24	SF	0.20	0.41	−0.21
25	CAR	0.25	0.47	−0.22
26	CHI	0.40	0.65	−0.25
27	CIN	0	0.29	−0.29
28	MIN	0.40	0.71	−0.31
29	TB	0.40	0.71	−0.31
30	DAL	0.20	0.59	−0.39
31	IND	0.20	0.59	−0.39
32	BAL	0	0.41	−0.41

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 0.71

Multi-year laggard

CIN · 0.32

Biggest improver

GB · +0.12/yr

Biggest decliner

ARI · −0.17/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	0.71	−0.08	0.81	0.82	1.18	0.59	0.53	0.65	0.40
2	MIA	0.70	−0.00	0.56	0.94	0.53	0.76	0.82	0.71	0.60
3	WAS	0.68	−0.01	0.75	0.88	0.65	0.41	0.65	0.65	0.80
4	GB	0.68	+0.12	0.19	0.59	0.71	0.82	0.47	0.59	1.40
5	NE	0.66	+0.00	0.75	0.53	0.71	0.41	1	0.65	0.60
6	CLE	0.65	+0.03	0.88	0.59	0.29	0.65	0.53	0.41	1.20
7	ARI	0.63	−0.17	0.69	1.35	0.82	0.76	0.59	0.18	0
8	PHI	0.62	−0.07	1	0.71	0.65	0.53	0.53	0.35	0.60
9	TEN	0.57	−0.04	0.56	0.82	0.59	0.41	0.88	0.35	0.40
10	CAR	0.57	−0.06	0.38	0.71	1.12	0.65	0.41	0.47	0.25
11	ATL	0.57	+0.02	0.38	0.65	0.53	0.59	0.76	0.47	0.60
12	PIT	0.57	−0.04	0.75	0.59	0.53	0.59	0.65	0.47	0.40
13	SEA	0.57	+0.07	0.44	0.59	0.41	0.18	0.76	0.59	1
14	MIN	0.57	−0.03	0.56	0.76	0.59	0.59	0.35	0.71	0.40
15	BUF	0.56	+0.05	0.31	0.65	0.69	0.41	0.47	0.41	1
16	KC	0.56	+0.04	0.38	0.65	0.53	0.47	0.35	0.76	0.75
17	NYG	0.55	−0.01	0.44	0.71	0.35	0.94	0.53	0.29	0.60
18	DEN	0.54	+0.03	0.69	0.18	0.94	0.24	0.35	0.18	1.20
19	LV	0.54	−0.01	0.38	0.94	0.65	0.41	0.24	0.35	0.80
20	NYJ	0.53	+0.12	0.13	0.35	0.47	0.71	0.47	0.41	1.20
21	BAL	0.52	−0.10	0.88	0.59	0.59	0.47	0.71	0.41	0
22	DAL	0.52	−0.02	0.31	0.88	0.47	0.35	0.82	0.59	0.20
23	IND	0.52	−0.01	0.13	0.53	1.24	0.41	0.53	0.59	0.20
24	TB	0.51	+0.07	0.38	0.18	0.24	0.71	1	0.71	0.40
25	LAC	0.51	+0.06	0.56	0.06	0.47	0.59	0.65	0.47	0.80
26	NO	0.49	−0.07	0.94	0.35	0.65	0.35	0.41	0.35	0.40
27	DET	0.47	+0.08	0.25	0.41	0.47	0.29	0.47	0.18	1.20
28	JAX	0.46	+0.06	0.31	0.35	0.29	0.53	0.59	0.35	0.80
29	HOU	0.46	−0.01	0.38	0.53	0.71	0.53	0.24	0.24	0.60
30	SF	0.44	−0.01	0.25	0.65	0.41	0.47	0.71	0.41	0.20
31	LAR	0.37	−0.01	0.44	0.35	0.47	0.29	0.41	0.24	0.40
32	CIN	0.32	−0.04	0.31	0.53	0.25	0.41	0.41	0.29	0

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
GB	0.19	0.59	0.71	0.82	0.47	0.59	1.40
CLE	0.88	0.59	0.29	0.65	0.53	0.41	1.20
DEN	0.69	0.18	0.94	0.24	0.35	0.18	1.20
DET	0.25	0.41	0.47	0.29	0.47	0.18	1.20
NYJ	0.13	0.35	0.47	0.71	0.47	0.41	1.20
BUF	0.31	0.65	0.69	0.41	0.47	0.41	1
SEA	0.44	0.59	0.41	0.18	0.76	0.59	1
JAX	0.31	0.35	0.29	0.53	0.59	0.35	0.80
LV	0.38	0.94	0.65	0.41	0.24	0.35	0.80
LAC	0.56	0.06	0.47	0.59	0.65	0.47	0.80
WAS	0.75	0.88	0.65	0.41	0.65	0.65	0.80
KC	0.38	0.65	0.53	0.47	0.35	0.76	0.75
ATL	0.38	0.65	0.53	0.59	0.76	0.47	0.60
HOU	0.38	0.53	0.71	0.53	0.24	0.24	0.60
MIA	0.56	0.94	0.53	0.76	0.82	0.71	0.60
NE	0.75	0.53	0.71	0.41	1	0.65	0.60
NYG	0.44	0.71	0.35	0.94	0.53	0.29	0.60
PHI	1	0.71	0.65	0.53	0.53	0.35	0.60
CHI	0.81	0.82	1.18	0.59	0.53	0.65	0.40
LAR	0.44	0.35	0.47	0.29	0.41	0.24	0.40
MIN	0.56	0.76	0.59	0.59	0.35	0.71	0.40
NO	0.94	0.35	0.65	0.35	0.41	0.35	0.40
PIT	0.75	0.59	0.53	0.59	0.65	0.47	0.40
TB	0.38	0.18	0.24	0.71	1	0.71	0.40
TEN	0.56	0.82	0.59	0.41	0.88	0.35	0.40
CAR	0.38	0.71	1.12	0.65	0.41	0.47	0.25
DAL	0.31	0.88	0.47	0.35	0.82	0.59	0.20
IND	0.13	0.53	1.24	0.41	0.53	0.59	0.20
SF	0.25	0.65	0.41	0.47	0.71	0.41	0.20
ARI	0.69	1.35	0.82	0.76	0.59	0.18	0
BAL	0.88	0.59	0.59	0.47	0.71	0.41	0
CIN	0.31	0.53	0.25	0.41	0.41	0.29	0

Own Fumble Rec since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 49ers (1), 2019 Steelers (1.06), 2020 Eagles (1), 2021 Cardinals (1.35), 2022 Colts (1.24), 2023 Giants (0.94), 2024 Patriots (1), 2025 Chiefs (0.76), 2026 Packers (1.40).

The best season on record is Packers 2026 at 1.40; the worst Bengals 2026 at 0.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_fum_rec_own
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.