NO17
ATL19
Vegas ATL -4.5 — NO covered
What the site's algorithm picked
It took NO — correct.
From its Week 18 2025 power ratings, computed from 2025 season stats.
Scoring offence
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defence
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2025
| Split | NO | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-11 · 9-8 · 5-12 | 8-9 · 9-8 · 8-9 |
| At home | 3-5 · 3-5 · 1-7 | 4-4 · 3-5 · 4-4 |
| On the road | 3-6 · 6-3 · 4-5 | 4-5 · 6-3 · 4-5 |
| As favourite | 3-4 · 2-5 · 3-4 | |
| As underdog | 3-10 · 6-7 · 4-9 | 5-5 · 7-3 · 5-5 |
| In division | 3-3 · 4-2 · 1-5 | 3-3 · 2-4 · 2-4 |
| Out of division | 3-8 · 5-6 · 4-7 | 5-6 · 7-4 · 6-5 |
| Pick'em (±3) | 3-2 · 3-2 · 2-3 | 3-3 · 3-3 · 2-4 |
| Dog by 3-7 | 1-6 · 3-4 · 0-7 | 3-2 · 5-0 · 3-2 |
Straight up · against the spread · over-under. Splits with fewer than 5 games are not shown.
Box score
| Team stats | NO | ATL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 16 | 14 |
| Passing | 10 | 11 |
| Rushing | 5 | 2 |
| From penalties | 1 | 1 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 5 of 16 | 4 of 14 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 367 | 229 |
| Total plays | 65 | 58 |
| Yards per play | 5.6 | 3.9 |
| Drives | 11 | 12 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 259 | 180 |
| Completions | 23-39 | 18-36 |
| Yards per pass | 6.6 | 5.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 1 |
| Interceptions | 1 | 1 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 4 (27) | 4 (21) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 108 | 49 |
| Attempts | 26 | 25 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 2.0 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 0 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 2 of 4 | 1 of 4 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 6 (40) | 5 (42) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 2 | 1 |
| Fumbles lost | 1 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 1 | 1 |
Game stats from database N.