MIN at DET
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 8, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DET the better side by 0.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DET -2.5
Now DET -3 — DET favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: DET -2.5 (Oct 25) · DET -3 ×3 (Oct 26–Oct 27)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | MIN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 6-0 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 1-5 | SU 4-2 · ATS 1-4-1 · O/U 5-1 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-0 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 0-3 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 |
| As favourite | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 4-1 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 4-1 |
| As underdog | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| In division | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 |
| Out of division | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 0-4 | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 5-0 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | MIN | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 93 | 146 |
| Passing | 51 | 91 |
| Rushing | 35 | 47 |
| From penalties | 4 | 12 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 34 of 87 | 27 of 69 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 5 | 8 of 13 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,804 | 2,478 |
| Total plays | 352 | 395 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 | 6.3 |
| Drives | 65 | 63 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,088 | 1,788 |
| Completions | 106-183 | 150-235 |
| Yards per pass | 5.9 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 2 | 0 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 18 (114) | 12 (94) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 716 | 690 |
| Attempts | 181 | 163 |
| Yards per rush | 4.0 | 4.2 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 8 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 7 of 17 | 19 of 31 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 34 (274) | 40 (308) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 4 | 3 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 2 | 0 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 17 DET 10, MIN 23 MIN won
- 2025 wk 9 MIN 27, DET 24 MIN won
- 2024 wk 18 MIN 9, DET 31 DET won
- 2024 wk 7 DET 31, MIN 29 DET won
- 2023 wk 18 MIN 20, DET 30 DET won
- 2023 wk 16 DET 30, MIN 24 DET won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: MIN's offense (T-1st) against DET's defense (T-29th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- MIN's offense ranks T-1st in fourth-down conversion rate; DET's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 5th in average drive start (yards to go); MIN's defense ranks 27th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks 10th in average drive start (yards to go); DET's defense ranks 28th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks T-6th in fumbles lost; DET's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 13th in yards per carry; MIN's defense ranks 18th against it.
Form and history
- Week 8, 2026: MIN (6 wins, 0 losses), on a 6-game winning streak at DET (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- MIN: yards after catch allowed 145.0 over the last four weeks, down from 412.0 — 30th to 1st in the league.
- DET: first downs given up by penalty 3.0 over the last four weeks, down from 9.0 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: MIN leads DET 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Kyler Murray for MIN, Jared Goff for DET.