KC at DEN
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 8, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes KC the better side by 4.4.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened KC -1.5
Now KC -1.5
Line history: KC -1.5 ×4 (Oct 25–Oct 27)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | KC | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-1 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-4 | SU 5-2 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 2-5 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 |
| On the road | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 |
| As favourite | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 2-3 | SU 4-0 · ATS 4-0 · O/U 2-2 |
| As underdog | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 |
| In division | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Out of division | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | KC | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 115 | 113 |
| Passing | 65 | 59 |
| Rushing | 46 | 42 |
| From penalties | 15 | 16 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 28 of 70 | 29 of 89 |
| Fourth down | 7 of 11 | 3 of 4 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,323 | 1,935 |
| Total plays | 354 | 396 |
| Yards per play | 6.6 | 4.9 |
| Drives | 63 | 78 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,474 | 1,271 |
| Completions | 124-199 | 129-229 |
| Yards per pass | 7.4 | 5.6 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 3 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 7 (40) | 9 (45) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 849 | 664 |
| Attempts | 161 | 174 |
| Yards per rush | 5.3 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 7 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 13 of 26 | 12 of 24 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 41 (359) | 55 (383) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 4 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 0 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 4 | 3 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 1 DEN 10, KC 31 KC won
- 2025 wk 17 DEN 20, KC 13 DEN won
- 2025 wk 11 KC 19, DEN 22 DEN won
- 2024 wk 18 KC 0, DEN 38 DEN won
- 2024 wk 10 DEN 14, KC 16 KC won
- 2023 wk 8 KC 9, DEN 24 DEN won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DEN's offense (6th) against KC's defense (31st) in sack rate (taken).
The mismatch
- DEN's offense ranks 6th in sack rate (taken); KC's defense ranks 31st against it.
- KC's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added rushing; DEN's defense ranks 27th against it.
- KC's offense ranks 1st in yards per carry; DEN's defense ranks 24th against it.
- KC's offense ranks 15th in rushing first downs; DEN's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks T-3rd in fourth-down conversion rate; KC's defense ranks 12th against it.
- DEN's offense ranks 7th in interception rate (thrown); KC's defense ranks 8th against it.
Form and history
- Week 8, 2026: KC (5 wins, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at DEN (5 wins, 2 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- KC: extra-point rate 1.5 over the last four weeks, down from 3.0 — 9th to 32nd in the league.
- DEN: forced fumbles 6.0 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: KC leads DEN 13–4 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Patrick Mahomes for KC, Bo Nix for DEN.