IND at JAX
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 8, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes JAX the better side by 10.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened JAX -7.5
Now JAX -7.5
Line history: JAX -7.5 ×4 (Oct 25–Oct 27)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | IND | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-5 · ATS 4-3 · O/U 4-3 | SU 4-2 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 2-4 |
| At home | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-3 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Out of division | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 4-1 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | IND | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 134 | 126 |
| Passing | 71 | 73 |
| Rushing | 58 | 45 |
| From penalties | 7 | 13 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 40 of 97 | 35 of 72 |
| Fourth down | 10 of 15 | 2 of 5 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,221 | 2,157 |
| Total plays | 456 | 355 |
| Yards per play | 4.9 | 6.1 |
| Drives | 75 | 59 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,398 | 1,480 |
| Completions | 143-259 | 120-195 |
| Yards per pass | 5.4 | 7.6 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 7 | 4 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 19 (135) | 10 (71) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 823 | 677 |
| Attempts | 200 | 167 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 4 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 22 | 12 of 24 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 36 (271) | 46 (390) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 12 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 5 | 0 |
| Interceptions thrown | 7 | 4 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 17 JAX 23, IND 17 JAX won
- 2025 wk 14 IND 19, JAX 36 JAX won
- 2024 wk 18 JAX 23, IND 26 IND won
- 2024 wk 5 IND 34, JAX 37 JAX won
- 2023 wk 6 IND 20, JAX 37 JAX won
- 2023 wk 1 JAX 31, IND 21 JAX won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: JAX's offense (T-1st) against IND's defense (T-29th) in fumbles lost.
The mismatch
- JAX's offense ranks T-1st in fumbles lost; IND's defense ranks T-29th against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 6th in share of drives ending in a turnover; IND's defense ranks 31st against it.
- JAX's offense ranks 4th in yards per completion; IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 14th in average drive start (yards to go); JAX's defense ranks 26th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 25th in yards per drive; JAX's defense ranks 29th against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-3rd in rushing touchdowns; JAX's defense ranks T-4th against it.
Form and history
- Week 8, 2026: IND (2 wins, 5 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at JAX (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- IND: rushing touchdowns allowed 1.0 over the last four weeks, down from 5.0 — 30th to 3rd in the league.
- JAX: penalty yards 291.0 over the last four weeks, up from 99.0 — 3rd to 31st in the league.
- Head-to-head: JAX leads IND 10–6 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Daniel Jones for IND, Trevor Lawrence for JAX.
- JAX enters on 14 days rest to IND's 7.