CLE at PIT
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 8, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes PIT the better side by 4.3.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened PIT -4.5
Now PIT -3.5 — PIT favoured by 1 less since first recorded
Line history: PIT -4.5 (Oct 25) · PIT -3.5 ×3 (Oct 26–Oct 27)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | CLE | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-2 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 4-3 | SU 5-2 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 4-3 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| As underdog | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| In division | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Out of division | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 4-1 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | CLE | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 120 | 135 |
| Passing | 71 | 77 |
| Rushing | 39 | 44 |
| From penalties | 14 | 9 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 29 of 89 | 36 of 91 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 9 | 3 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,229 | 2,442 |
| Total plays | 415 | 436 |
| Yards per play | 5.4 | 5.6 |
| Drives | 82 | 79 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,482 | 1,699 |
| Completions | 137-237 | 162-288 |
| Yards per pass | 6.3 | 5.9 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 25 (133) | 22 (176) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 747 | 743 |
| Attempts | 184 | 161 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 1 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 9 of 22 | 9 of 25 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 63 (420) | 42 (367) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 8 | 7 |
| Fumbles lost | 6 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 4 PIT 24, CLE 27 CLE won
- 2025 wk 17 PIT 6, CLE 13 CLE won
- 2025 wk 6 CLE 9, PIT 23 PIT won
- 2024 wk 14 CLE 14, PIT 27 PIT won
- 2024 wk 12 PIT 19, CLE 24 CLE won
- 2023 wk 11 PIT 10, CLE 13 CLE won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: PIT's offense (8th) against CLE's defense (22nd) in yards per carry.
The mismatch
- PIT's offense ranks 8th in yards per carry; CLE's defense ranks 22nd against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 5th in expected points added rushing; CLE's defense ranks 16th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 9th in yards after catch; PIT's defense ranks 20th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 1st in yards after catch; CLE's defense ranks T-10th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 23rd in fourth-down conversion rate; PIT's defense ranks 27th against it.
- CLE's offense ranks 13th in completion rate; PIT's defense ranks 17th against it.
Form and history
- Week 8, 2026: CLE (5 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at PIT (5 wins, 2 losses), on a 3-game winning streak.
- CLE: share of opponent drives ending in a score 27.7 over the last four weeks, down from 50.0 — 31st to 4th in the league.
- PIT: fumbles lost 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 3.0 — 29th to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: PIT leads CLE 9–7–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Deshaun Watson for CLE, Aaron Rodgers for PIT.