PIT at NO
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes PIT the better side by 1.8.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened PIT -2.5
Now PIT -3.5 — PIT favoured by 1 more since first recorded
Line history: PIT -2.5 ×3 (Oct 16–Oct 19) · PIT -3.5 ×2 (Oct 20–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | PIT | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-2 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 4-2 | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2 |
| At home | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 |
| As underdog | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Out of division | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 2-3 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 3-0 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | PIT | NO |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 115 | 122 |
| Passing | 68 | 75 |
| Rushing | 34 | 38 |
| From penalties | 8 | 10 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 26 of 75 | 37 of 87 |
| Fourth down | 3 of 6 | 10 of 13 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,082 | 2,027 |
| Total plays | 375 | 401 |
| Yards per play | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Drives | 72 | 69 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,487 | 1,443 |
| Completions | 143-255 | 153-249 |
| Yards per pass | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 12 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 19 (159) | 13 (98) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 595 | 584 |
| Attempts | 131 | 155 |
| Yards per rush | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 1 | 6 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 8 of 21 | 16 of 23 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 36 (310) | 40 (266) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 7 | 11 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 7 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2022 wk 10 NO 10, PIT 20 PIT won
- 2018 wk 16 PIT 28, NO 31 NO won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: PIT's offense (5th) against NO's defense (31st) in expected points added rushing.
The mismatch
- PIT's offense ranks 5th in expected points added rushing; NO's defense ranks 31st against it.
- NO's offense ranks 3rd in fourth-down conversion rate; PIT's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 10th in yards per carry; NO's defense ranks 28th against it.
- PIT's offense ranks 1st in yards after catch; NO's defense ranks 18th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 2nd in red-zone scoring rate; PIT's defense ranks 17th against it.
- NO's offense ranks T-16th in rushing first downs; PIT's defense ranks T-20th against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: PIT (4 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at NO (2 wins, 4 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- PIT: touchdown rate per pass 7.1 over the last four weeks, up from 1.2 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- NO: two-point conversions 0.0 over the last four weeks, down from 1.0 — 2nd to 25th in the league.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Aaron Rodgers for PIT, Tyler Shough for NO.