MIA at NYJ
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes NYJ the better side by 7.5.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NYJ -4.5
Now NYJ -4.5
Line history: NYJ -4.5 ×5 (Oct 16–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | MIA | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 0-5 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-4 · ATS 4-1-1 · O/U 2-4 |
| At home | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 |
| On the road | SU 0-3 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | |
| As underdog | SU 0-5 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| In division | SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Out of division | SU 0-5 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-3 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 1-4 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 0-2 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-4 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | MIA | NYJ |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 76 | 103 |
| Passing | 35 | 57 |
| Rushing | 34 | 41 |
| From penalties | 7 | 18 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 27 of 63 | 28 of 76 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 7 | 3 of 6 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,482 | 1,903 |
| Total plays | 274 | 349 |
| Yards per play | 5.4 | 5.5 |
| Drives | 47 | 64 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 849 | 1,336 |
| Completions | 73-145 | 122-198 |
| Yards per pass | 5.9 | 6.7 |
| Touchdowns | 2 | 7 |
| Interceptions | 4 | 1 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 14 (81) | 19 (159) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 633 | 567 |
| Attempts | 130 | 158 |
| Yards per rush | 4.9 | 3.6 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 4 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 6 of 14 | 5 of 21 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 38 (260) | 52 (447) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 8 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 4 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 4 | 1 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 14 MIA 34, NYJ 10 MIA won
- 2025 wk 4 NYJ 21, MIA 27 MIA won
- 2024 wk 18 MIA 20, NYJ 32 NYJ won
- 2024 wk 14 NYJ 26, MIA 32 MIA won
- 2023 wk 15 NYJ 0, MIA 30 MIA won
- 2023 wk 12 MIA 34, NYJ 13 MIA won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: NYJ's offense (5th) against MIA's defense (32nd) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- NYJ's offense ranks 5th in completion rate; MIA's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 6th in share of drives ending in a turnover; MIA's defense ranks 29th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 5th in yards per carry; NYJ's defense ranks 19th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-13th in fumbles lost; MIA's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 4th in average drive start (yards to go); NYJ's defense ranks 8th against it.
- MIA's offense ranks 27th in interception rate (thrown); NYJ's defense ranks 31st against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: MIA (0 wins, 5 losses), on a 5-game losing streak at NYJ (2 wins, 4 losses), on a 1-game losing streak.
- MIA: red-zone scoring rate allowed 50.0 over the last four weeks, down from 88.9 — 31st to 5th in the league.
- NYJ: rushing first downs allowed 36.0 over the last four weeks, up from 8.0 — 4th to 32nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: MIA leads NYJ 13–3 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Malik Willis for MIA, Geno Smith for NYJ.
- MIA enters on 14 days rest to NYJ's 7.