IND at MIN
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 7, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes MIN the better side by 8.9.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened MIN -5.5
Now MIN -6.5 — MIN favoured by 1 more since first recorded
Line history: MIN -5.5 (Oct 16) · MIN -6 (Oct 18) · MIN -5.5 (Oct 19) · MIN -6.5 ×2 (Oct 20–Oct 20)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | IND | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 4-2 | SU 5-0 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 1-4 |
| At home | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 0-3 |
| As favourite | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 4-0 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Out of division | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 0-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 3-0 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 1-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | IND | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 119 | 76 |
| Passing | 65 | 42 |
| Rushing | 49 | 29 |
| From penalties | 5 | 4 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 32 of 82 | 31 of 76 |
| Fourth down | 9 of 14 | 3 of 3 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,959 | 1,518 |
| Total plays | 397 | 298 |
| Yards per play | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| Drives | 66 | 56 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,290 | 938 |
| Completions | 130-233 | 92-156 |
| Yards per pass | 5.5 | 6.0 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 5 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 15 (91) | 15 (103) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 669 | 580 |
| Attempts | 167 | 152 |
| Yards per rush | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 9 | 3 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 12 of 20 | 6 of 15 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 30 (225) | 30 (250) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 11 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 5 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 6 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2024 wk 9 IND 13, MIN 21 MIN won
- 2022 wk 15 IND 36, MIN 39 MIN won
- 2020 wk 2 MIN 11, IND 28 IND won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: MIN's offense (6th) against IND's defense (26th) in average drive start (yards to go).
The mismatch
- MIN's offense ranks 6th in average drive start (yards to go); IND's defense ranks 26th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks 9th in interception rate (thrown); IND's defense ranks 29th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks T-8th in fumbles lost; IND's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 11th in average drive start (yards to go); MIN's defense ranks 29th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 4th in expected points added rushing; MIN's defense ranks 6th against it.
Form and history
- Week 7, 2026: IND (2 wins, 4 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at MIN (5 wins, 0 losses), on a 5-game winning streak.
- IND: yards after catch allowed 321.0 over the last four weeks, down from 389.0 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- MIN: yards after catch allowed 225.0 over the last four weeks, down from 290.0 — 29th to 1st in the league.
- Head-to-head: MIN leads IND 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Daniel Jones for IND, Kyler Murray for MIN.
- MIN enters on 14 days rest to IND's 7.