NYJ at NE
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 6, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes NE the better side by 4.9.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NE -7
Now NE -7.5 — NE favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: NE -7 ×3 (Oct 9–Oct 12) · NE -7.5 ×20 (Oct 13–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | NYJ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-6 · ATS 4-3-1 · O/U 4-4 | SU 5-3 · ATS 3-4-1 · O/U 5-3 |
| At home | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 3-0 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 2-3 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| As favourite | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 4-0 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| As underdog | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| In division | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 3-0 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 |
| Out of division | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-2-1 · O/U 2-4 | SU 2-3 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | NYJ | NE |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 145 | 162 |
| Passing | 82 | 89 |
| Rushing | 55 | 61 |
| From penalties | 22 | 15 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 39 of 100 | 42 of 97 |
| Fourth down | 6 of 9 | 10 of 13 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,754 | 3,014 |
| Total plays | 463 | 485 |
| Yards per play | 5.9 | 6.2 |
| Drives | 83 | 85 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,913 | 2,029 |
| Completions | 165-265 | 161-257 |
| Yards per pass | 7.2 | 7.9 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 15 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 8 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (194) | 16 (76) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 841 | 985 |
| Attempts | 206 | 240 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 4.1 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 6 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 10 of 32 | 12 of 33 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 64 (515) | 61 (469) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 6 | 15 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 7 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 8 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 6 NYJ 19, NE 26 NE won
- 2025 wk 17 NE 42, NYJ 10 NE won
- 2025 wk 11 NYJ 14, NE 27 NE won
- 2024 wk 8 NYJ 22, NE 25 NE won
- 2024 wk 3 NE 3, NYJ 24 NYJ won
- 2023 wk 18 NYJ 17, NE 3 NYJ won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: NYJ's offense (4th) against NE's defense (24th) in completion rate.
The mismatch
- NYJ's offense ranks 4th in completion rate; NE's defense ranks 24th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-3rd in fourth-down conversion rate; NE's defense ranks 21st against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); NE's defense ranks 18th against it.
- NE's offense ranks T-6th in rushing first downs; NYJ's defense ranks T-16th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 2nd in fourth-down conversion rate; NYJ's defense ranks T-6th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 15th in yards per carry; NYJ's defense ranks 19th against it.
Form and history
- Week 6, 2026: NYJ (2 wins, 3 losses), on a 1-game winning streak at NE (3 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- NYJ: sack rate (taken) 10.2 over the last four weeks, up from 0.0 — 3rd to 32nd in the league.
- NE: yards per completion 13.2 over the last four weeks, up from 7.3 — 30th to 2nd in the league.
- Head-to-head: NE leads NYJ 14–2 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Geno Smith for NYJ, Drake Maye for NE.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.