NYJ at DET
Final
NYJ 24, DET 31
The game landed exactly on the number — a push.
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DET the better side by 9.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened DET -6.5
Now DET -7 — DET favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: DET -6.5 ×7 (Sep 22–Sep 25) · DET -7 ×38 (Sep 28–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | NYJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 2-6 · ATS 4-3-1 · O/U 4-4 | SU 5-2 · ATS 2-4-1 · O/U 5-2 |
| At home | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 | SU 4-0 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-1-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 |
| As favourite | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 5-1 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 4-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-4 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| In division | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Out of division | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-2-1 · O/U 2-4 | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 5-0 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 0-2 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | NYJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 145 | 170 |
| Passing | 82 | 99 |
| Rushing | 55 | 61 |
| From penalties | 22 | 13 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 39 of 100 | 32 of 82 |
| Fourth down | 6 of 9 | 8 of 13 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,754 | 2,884 |
| Total plays | 463 | 462 |
| Yards per play | 5.9 | 6.2 |
| Drives | 83 | 74 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,913 | 1,964 |
| Completions | 165-265 | 168-264 |
| Yards per pass | 7.2 | 7.4 |
| Touchdowns | 12 | 15 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (194) | 16 (116) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 841 | 920 |
| Attempts | 206 | 203 |
| Yards per rush | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 9 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 10 of 32 | 20 of 35 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 64 (515) | 47 (384) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 6 | 4 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 1 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 NYJ 24, DET 31 DET won
- 2022 wk 15 DET 20, NYJ 17 DET won
- 2018 wk 1 NYJ 48, DET 17 NYJ won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: NYJ's offense (T-5th) against DET's defense (T-30th) in rushing touchdowns.
The mismatch
- NYJ's offense ranks T-5th in rushing touchdowns; DET's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- DET's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); NYJ's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks T-6th in rushing first downs; DET's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- DET's offense ranks T-4th in share of drives ending in a turnover; NYJ's defense ranks 26th against it.
- NYJ's offense ranks 7th in red-zone scoring rate; DET's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 8th in touchdown rate per pass; NYJ's defense ranks 18th against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: NYJ (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at DET (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Geno Smith for NYJ, Jared Goff for DET.
- DET enters on 10 days rest to NYJ's 7.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.