LV at NO
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes NO the better side by 5.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NO -3
Now NO -3.5 — NO favoured by 0.5 more since first recorded
Line history: NO -3 ×7 (Sep 22–Sep 25) · NO -3.5 ×38 (Sep 28–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | LV | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-4 · ATS 6-2 · O/U 6-2 | SU 2-5 · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3 |
| At home | SU 1-3 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-4 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 3-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 |
| As underdog | SU 3-4 · ATS 5-2 · O/U 6-1 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Out of division | SU 3-3 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1 | SU 2-4 · ATS 3-3 · O/U 3-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 2-4 · ATS 4-2 · O/U 5-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | LV | NO |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 167 | 141 |
| Passing | 112 | 91 |
| Rushing | 36 | 41 |
| From penalties | 19 | 11 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 44 of 101 | 43 of 99 |
| Fourth down | 6 of 14 | 12 of 15 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,803 | 2,323 |
| Total plays | 502 | 458 |
| Yards per play | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Drives | 91 | 75 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 2,185 | 1,721 |
| Completions | 187-308 | 183-289 |
| Yards per pass | 7.1 | 6.0 |
| Touchdowns | 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 6 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 11 (64) | 15 (113) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 618 | 602 |
| Attempts | 207 | 172 |
| Yards per rush | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Touchdowns | 4 | 6 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 18 of 40 | 17 of 26 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 49 (384) | 45 (305) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 6 | 12 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 7 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 6 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 LV 35, NO 27 LV won
- 2024 wk 17 LV 25, NO 10 LV won
- 2022 wk 8 LV 0, NO 24 NO won
- 2020 wk 2 NO 24, LV 34 LV won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: LV's offense (6th) against NO's defense (21st) in sack rate (taken).
The mismatch
- LV's offense ranks 6th in sack rate (taken); NO's defense ranks 21st against it.
- LV's offense ranks 1st in touchdown rate per pass; NO's defense ranks 15th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 10th in yards after catch; LV's defense ranks 20th against it.
- LV's offense ranks 13th in red-zone scoring rate; NO's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- NO's offense ranks 19th in yards per completion; LV's defense ranks 27th against it.
- NO's offense ranks T-7th in rushing touchdowns; LV's defense ranks T-16th against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: LV (2 wins, 0 losses), on a 2-game winning streak at NO (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: LV leads NO 2–1 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Kirk Cousins for LV, Tyler Shough for NO.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.