HOU at IND
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes IND the better side by 2.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened HOU -2.5
Now HOU -1.5 — HOU favoured by 1 less since first recorded
Line history: HOU -2.5 (Sep 22) · HOU -1.5 ×34 (Sep 25–Oct 13)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | HOU | IND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 1-4 · ATS 1-4 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-3 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 3-2 |
| At home | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 |
| On the road | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 1-3 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| As underdog | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Out of division | SU 0-3 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-4 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | HOU | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 97 | 95 |
| Passing | 60 | 50 |
| Rushing | 29 | 42 |
| From penalties | 8 | 4 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 25 of 65 | 25 of 67 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 7 | 8 of 11 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 1,797 | 1,525 |
| Total plays | 311 | 320 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| Drives | 55 | 55 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,402 | 1,021 |
| Completions | 119-200 | 108-185 |
| Yards per pass | 7.0 | 5.5 |
| Touchdowns | 6 | 3 |
| Interceptions | 0 | 4 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 14 (93) | 9 (56) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 395 | 504 |
| Attempts | 117 | 137 |
| Yards per rush | 3.4 | 3.7 |
| Touchdowns | 5 | 8 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 10 of 20 | 10 of 16 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 42 (388) | 25 (164) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 2 | 8 |
| Fumbles lost | 2 | 4 |
| Interceptions thrown | 0 | 4 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 HOU 17, IND 19 IND won
- 2025 wk 18 IND 30, HOU 38 HOU won
- 2025 wk 13 HOU 20, IND 16 HOU won
- 2024 wk 8 IND 20, HOU 23 HOU won
- 2024 wk 1 HOU 29, IND 27 HOU won
- 2023 wk 18 HOU 23, IND 19 HOU won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: HOU's offense (T-4th) against IND's defense (32nd) in yards after catch.
The mismatch
- HOU's offense ranks T-4th in yards after catch; IND's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- HOU's offense ranks T-1st in interception rate (thrown); IND's defense ranks T-24th against it.
- HOU's offense ranks T-7th in passing first downs; IND's defense ranks T-30th against it.
- IND's offense ranks 4th in rushing touchdowns; HOU's defense ranks T-16th against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-8th in share of drives ending in a score; HOU's defense ranks 23rd against it.
- IND's offense ranks T-4th in red-zone scoring rate; HOU's defense ranks T-15th against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: HOU (0 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at IND (0 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak.
- Head-to-head: HOU leads IND 8–7–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: C.J. Stroud for HOU, Daniel Jones for IND.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.