BAL at DAL
Final
BAL 34, DAL 31
The game landed exactly on the number — a push.
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DAL the better side by 1.6.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened BAL -3
Now BAL -3
Line history: BAL -3 (Sep 22) · BAL -3.5 ×6 (Sep 25–Sep 25) · BAL -3 ×38 (Sep 28–Nov 2)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | BAL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 4-4 · ATS 2-5-1 · O/U 4-4 | SU 3-5 · ATS 3-4-1 · O/U 6-2 |
| At home | SU 1-2 · ATS 0-3 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| On the road | SU 3-2 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| As favourite | SU 3-2 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 2-3 | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 4-2 |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| In division | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 3-0 |
| Out of division | SU 4-2 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-4 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 3-2 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-3 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 3-2 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 3-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2 | SU 0-2 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 1-1 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | BAL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 146 | 181 |
| Passing | 87 | 111 |
| Rushing | 53 | 53 |
| From penalties | 18 | 23 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 38 of 95 | 50 of 101 |
| Fourth down | 2 of 8 | 6 of 11 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,853 | 2,799 |
| Total plays | 474 | 515 |
| Yards per play | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| Drives | 90 | 78 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,785 | 2,046 |
| Completions | 154-251 | 197-316 |
| Yards per pass | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 3 | 5 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 22 (144) | 11 (63) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 1,068 | 753 |
| Attempts | 232 | 200 |
| Yards per rush | 4.6 | 3.8 |
| Touchdowns | 10 | 10 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 16 of 31 | 23 of 36 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 67 (493) | 60 (514) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 8 | 6 |
| Fumbles lost | 5 | 2 |
| Interceptions thrown | 3 | 5 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 3 BAL 34, DAL 31 BAL won
- 2024 wk 3 BAL 28, DAL 25 BAL won
- 2020 wk 13 DAL 17, BAL 34 BAL won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (4th) against DAL's defense (32nd) in yards per drive.
The mismatch
- BAL's offense ranks 4th in yards per drive; DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
- BAL's offense ranks T-3rd in rushing first downs; DAL's defense ranks 31st against it.
- BAL's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added rushing; DAL's defense ranks 28th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 3rd in red-zone scoring rate; BAL's defense ranks T-27th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; BAL's defense ranks 26th against it.
- DAL's offense ranks 1st in share of drives ending in a score; BAL's defense ranks 22nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 3, 2026: BAL (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at DAL (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
- Head-to-head: BAL leads DAL 2–0 in games since 2020.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Lamar Jackson for BAL, Dak Prescott for DAL.
Final — the recap is on this game's result page.