BAL at DAL

Week 3, 2026

Final

BAL 34, DAL 31

The game landed exactly on the number — a push.

What the site's algorithm makes of it

  • BAL 101.1 (12th by power rating)
  • DAL 100.3 (16th by power rating)

Power ratings as stored for week 3, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.

It makes DAL the better side by 1.6.

Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.

Opened BAL -3

Now BAL -3

Line history: BAL -3 (Sep 22) · BAL -3.5 ×6 (Sep 25–Sep 25) · BAL -3 ×28 (Sep 28–Oct 13)

Scoring offense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Scoring defense

Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.

Passing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Rushing

Bubble size is touchdowns.

Drives

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Conversions

Longer is better. 50 is the league median.

Betting record — 2026

SplitBALDAL
OverallSU 4-1 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2SU 2-3 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 4-1
At homeSU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1
On the roadSU 3-0 · ATS 2-0-1 · O/U 3-0SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0
As favouriteSU 3-1 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 2-1
As underdogSU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0SU 1-1 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0
In divisionSU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 2-0
Out of divisionSU 4-1 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 3-2SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 2-1
Pick'em (±3)SU 2-0 · ATS 1-0-1 · O/U 2-0SU 1-2 · ATS 1-1-1 · O/U 3-0
Favoured by 3-7SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0
Favoured by 7+SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 0-2SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1
Dog by 3-7SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0

SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.

Season to date — 2026

MetricBALDAL
1st downs
Total108113
Passing5972
Rushing4530
From penalties1213
Efficiency
Third down20 of 5030 of 59
Fourth down1 of 42 of 4
Volume
Total yards2,0531,789
Total plays304307
Yards per play6.85.8
Drives5646
Passing
Passing yards1,2311,381
Completions100-149129-200
Yards per pass8.36.9
Touchdowns89
Interceptions13
Sacks (yards lost)11 (82)6 (33)
Rushing
Rushing yards822408
Attempts163107
Yards per rush5.03.8
Touchdowns97
Red zone
Scores14 of 2215 of 20
Penalties
Penalties (yards)44 (369)34 (314)
Turnovers
Total34
Fumbles lost22
Interceptions thrown13

Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.

When these two have met

  • 2026 wk 3 BAL 34, DAL 31 BAL won
  • 2024 wk 3 BAL 28, DAL 25 BAL won
  • 2020 wk 13 DAL 17, BAL 34 BAL won

Before the game

  • Biggest mismatch: BAL's offense (4th) against DAL's defense (32nd) in yards per drive.

The mismatch

  • BAL's offense ranks 4th in yards per drive; DAL's defense ranks 32nd against it.
  • BAL's offense ranks T-3rd in rushing first downs; DAL's defense ranks 31st against it.
  • BAL's offense ranks 2nd in expected points added rushing; DAL's defense ranks 28th against it.
  • DAL's offense ranks 3rd in red-zone scoring rate; BAL's defense ranks T-27th against it.
  • DAL's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; BAL's defense ranks 26th against it.
  • DAL's offense ranks 1st in share of drives ending in a score; BAL's defense ranks 22nd against it.

Form and history

  • Week 3, 2026: BAL (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game losing streak at DAL (1 win, 1 loss), on a 1-game winning streak.
  • Head-to-head: BAL leads DAL 2–0 in games since 2020.

Starters and rest

  • Projected starters: Lamar Jackson for BAL, Dak Prescott for DAL.

Final — the recap is on this game's result page.

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