NE at DET
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes DET the better side by 3.5.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened NE -1.5
Now DET -2.5 — the favourite flipped from NE to DET since first recorded
Line history: NE -1.5 (Nov 6) · DET -2.5 ×3 (Nov 9–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | NE | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 5-4 · ATS 3-5-1 · O/U 6-3 | SU 6-2 · ATS 3-4-1 · O/U 5-3 |
| At home | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 | SU 4-0 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2 |
| On the road | SU 2-3 · ATS 1-3-1 · O/U 3-2 | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 3-1 |
| As favourite | SU 4-1 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 4-1 | SU 6-1 · ATS 3-3-1 · O/U 4-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| In division | SU 3-0 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 3-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 0-2 |
| Out of division | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 3-3 | SU 4-2 · ATS 2-3-1 · O/U 5-1 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 0-4 · ATS 0-3-1 · O/U 2-2 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 2-0 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 | SU 3-1 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 2-2 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | SU 2-0 · ATS 0-1-1 · O/U 2-0 |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 1-0 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | NE | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 184 | 186 |
| Passing | 102 | 107 |
| Rushing | 69 | 68 |
| From penalties | 18 | 14 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 46 of 106 | 35 of 94 |
| Fourth down | 10 of 13 | 12 of 17 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 3,428 | 3,167 |
| Total plays | 547 | 517 |
| Yards per play | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| Drives | 99 | 82 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 2,349 | 2,145 |
| Completions | 183-303 | 186-293 |
| Yards per pass | 7.8 | 7.3 |
| Touchdowns | 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions | 11 | 2 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 20 (103) | 19 (129) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 1,079 | 1,022 |
| Attempts | 256 | 231 |
| Yards per rush | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 10 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 14 of 37 | 21 of 39 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 66 (500) | 56 (447) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 19 | 5 |
| Fumbles lost | 8 | 3 |
| Interceptions thrown | 11 | 2 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2022 wk 5 DET 0, NE 29 NE won
- 2018 wk 3 NE 10, DET 26 DET won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: DET's offense (2nd) against NE's defense (28th) in share of drives ending in a turnover.
The mismatch
- DET's offense ranks 2nd in share of drives ending in a turnover; NE's defense ranks 28th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 3rd in completion rate; NE's defense ranks 29th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 5th in fourth-down conversion rate; DET's defense ranks T-28th against it.
- DET's offense ranks 3rd in expected points added passing; NE's defense ranks 26th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 4th in touchdown rate per pass; DET's defense ranks 27th against it.
- NE's offense ranks 11th in passing first downs; DET's defense ranks 32nd against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: NE (5 wins, 4 losses), on a 1-game losing streak at DET (6 wins, 2 losses), on a 4-game winning streak.
- NE: points per drive allowed 2.5 over the last four weeks, up from 1.7 — 3rd to 28th in the league.
- DET: passing first downs allowed 31.0 over the last four weeks, down from 83.0 — 32nd to 6th in the league.
- Head-to-head: the series is level at 1–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Drake Maye for NE, Jared Goff for DET.