MIN at GB
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes GB the better side by 4.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened GB -3
Now GB -4.5 — GB favoured by 1.5 more since first recorded
Line history: GB -3 ×2 (Nov 6–Nov 9) · GB -4.5 ×2 (Nov 10–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | MIN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 6-2 · ATS 4-4 · O/U 1-7 | SU 6-3 · ATS 5-3-1 · O/U 3-6 |
| At home | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 1-3 | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| On the road | SU 3-1 · ATS 3-1 · O/U 0-4 | SU 3-2 · ATS 2-2-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| As favourite | SU 5-0 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 3-1 · ATS 1-2-1 · O/U 1-3 |
| As underdog | SU 1-2 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 0-3 | SU 3-2 · ATS 4-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| In division | SU 2-1 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 | SU 1-2 · ATS 2-1 · O/U 1-2 |
| Out of division | SU 4-1 · ATS 2-3 · O/U 0-5 | SU 5-1 · ATS 3-2-1 · O/U 2-4 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 3-2 · ATS 3-2 · O/U 1-4 | SU 4-1 · ATS 3-1-1 · O/U 2-3 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | SU 2-1 · ATS 1-2 · O/U 1-2 |
| Favoured by 7+ | SU 1-0 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 0-1 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-0 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 1-0 · O/U 0-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | MIN | GB |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 117 | 164 |
| Passing | 68 | 111 |
| Rushing | 39 | 40 |
| From penalties | 6 | 23 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 37 of 105 | 45 of 118 |
| Fourth down | 4 of 8 | 10 of 16 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 2,285 | 3,232 |
| Total plays | 447 | 555 |
| Yards per play | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Drives | 88 | 103 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 1,437 | 2,618 |
| Completions | 137-250 | 215-359 |
| Yards per pass | 5.7 | 7.3 |
| Touchdowns | 8 | 19 |
| Interceptions | 5 | 6 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 23 (151) | 17 (101) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 848 | 614 |
| Attempts | 211 | 203 |
| Yards per rush | 4.0 | 3.0 |
| Touchdowns | 3 | 6 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 9 of 20 | 19 of 42 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 43 (334) | 74 (605) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 8 | 10 |
| Fumbles lost | 3 | 5 |
| Interceptions thrown | 5 | 6 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2026 wk 1 GB 22, MIN 39 MIN won
- 2025 wk 18 GB 3, MIN 16 MIN won
- 2025 wk 12 MIN 6, GB 23 GB won
- 2024 wk 17 GB 25, MIN 27 MIN won
- 2024 wk 4 MIN 31, GB 29 MIN won
- 2023 wk 17 GB 33, MIN 10 GB won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: GB's offense (9th) against MIN's defense (T-15th) in fourth-down conversion rate.
The mismatch
- GB's offense ranks 9th in fourth-down conversion rate; MIN's defense ranks T-15th against it.
- GB's offense ranks T-17th in fumbles lost; MIN's defense ranks T-18th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks 18th in red-zone scoring rate; GB's defense ranks T-20th against it.
- MIN's offense ranks T-6th in fumbles lost; GB's defense ranks T-8th against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: MIN (6 wins, 2 losses), on a 2-game losing streak at GB (6 wins, 3 losses), on a 2-game winning streak.
- MIN: fourth-down conversion rate 20.0 over the last four weeks, down from 100.0 — 1st to 29th in the league.
- GB: third-down conversion rate 47.5 over the last four weeks, up from 28.1 — 32nd to 4th in the league.
- Head-to-head: MIN leads GB 9–7–1 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Kyler Murray for MIN, Jordan Love for GB.
- GB enters on 7 days rest to MIN's 6.