CAR at NO
What the site's algorithm makes of it
Power ratings as stored for week 10, 2026 — the set this week's picks were made from.
It makes NO the better side by 0.1.
Members see which side it is taking this week, and by how much it disagrees with the market.
Opened CAR -1.5
Now NO -1.5 — the favourite flipped from CAR to NO since first recorded
Line history: CAR -1.5 (Nov 6) · NO -1.5 ×3 (Nov 9–Nov 10)
Scoring offense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Scoring defense
Percentile against the league. Outward is better; the inner ring is the median.
Passing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Rushing
Bubble size is touchdowns.
Drives
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Conversions
Longer is better. 50 is the league median.
Betting record — 2026
| Split | CAR | NO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | SU 3-5 · ATS 3-5 · O/U 4-4 | SU 3-5 · ATS 3-5 · O/U 5-3 |
| At home | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 4-0 | SU 1-4 · ATS 0-5 · O/U 3-2 |
| On the road | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 0-4 | SU 2-1 · ATS 3-0 · O/U 2-1 |
| As favourite | SU 2-2 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 | SU 2-2 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 4-0 |
| As underdog | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 3-1 | SU 1-3 · ATS 2-2 · O/U 1-3 |
| In division | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | SU 0-1 · ATS 0-1 · O/U 1-0 |
| Out of division | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 3-3 | SU 3-4 · ATS 3-4 · O/U 4-3 |
| Pick'em (±3) | SU 2-4 · ATS 2-4 · O/U 3-3 | SU 1-3 · ATS 1-3 · O/U 2-2 |
| Favoured by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 0-2 · O/U 2-0 | |
| Dog by 3-7 | SU 1-1 · ATS 1-1 · O/U 1-1 | |
| Dog by 7+ | SU 1-1 · ATS 2-0 · O/U 1-1 |
SU = straight up · ATS = against the spread · O/U = over-under. Records count GAMES PLAYED.
Season to date — 2026
| Metric | CAR | NO |
|---|---|---|
| 1st downs | ||
| Total | 171 | 162 |
| Passing | 112 | 100 |
| Rushing | 49 | 51 |
| From penalties | 19 | 12 |
| Efficiency | ||
| Third down | 40 of 106 | 50 of 115 |
| Fourth down | 9 of 18 | 12 of 15 |
| Volume | ||
| Total yards | 3,054 | 2,748 |
| Total plays | 524 | 529 |
| Yards per play | 5.8 | 5.2 |
| Drives | 91 | 87 |
| Passing | ||
| Passing yards | 2,244 | 1,986 |
| Completions | 189-341 | 204-329 |
| Yards per pass | 6.6 | 6.0 |
| Touchdowns | 16 | 14 |
| Interceptions | 6 | 6 |
| Sacks (yards lost) | 26 (155) | 20 (142) |
| Rushing | ||
| Rushing yards | 810 | 762 |
| Attempts | 190 | 204 |
| Yards per rush | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| Touchdowns | 7 | 7 |
| Red zone | ||
| Scores | 19 of 34 | 19 of 31 |
| Penalties | ||
| Penalties (yards) | 70 (635) | 49 (330) |
| Turnovers | ||
| Total | 9 | 13 |
| Fumbles lost | 4 | 8 |
| Interceptions thrown | 6 | 6 |
Full-season totals from the 2026 season, database N.
When these two have met
- 2025 wk 15 CAR 17, NO 20 NO won
- 2025 wk 10 NO 17, CAR 7 NO won
- 2024 wk 9 NO 22, CAR 23 CAR won
- 2024 wk 1 CAR 10, NO 47 NO won
- 2023 wk 14 CAR 6, NO 28 NO won
- 2023 wk 2 NO 20, CAR 17 NO won
Before the game
- Biggest mismatch: NO's offense (3rd) against CAR's defense (31st) in red-zone scoring rate.
The mismatch
- NO's offense ranks 3rd in red-zone scoring rate; CAR's defense ranks 31st against it.
- NO's offense ranks 3rd in average drive start (yards to go); CAR's defense ranks 30th against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 2nd in average drive start (yards to go); NO's defense ranks 27th against it.
- NO's offense ranks 8th in third-down conversion rate; CAR's defense ranks 29th against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 12th in share of drives ending in a score; NO's defense ranks 31st against it.
- CAR's offense ranks 9th in yards per completion; NO's defense ranks 26th against it.
Form and history
- Week 10, 2026: CAR (3 wins, 5 losses), on a 3-game losing streak at NO (3 wins, 5 losses), on a 1-game winning streak.
- CAR: first downs given up by penalty 12.0 over the last four weeks, up from 7.0 — 7th to 29th in the league.
- NO: rushing touchdowns allowed 1.0 over the last four weeks, down from 10.0 — 32nd to 6th in the league.
- Head-to-head: NO leads CAR 11–5 in games since 2018.
Starters and rest
- Projected starters: Bryce Young for CAR, Tyler Shough for NO.