2025 NFL Week 8 Free Game Picks – Spreads – Teams – Power Ratings – Vegas Line Errors
2025 NFL Week 8 Picks & Predictions
The Algorithm is getting good at repeating itself, going 7 – 8 again in week 7 to drop the season record to 56 – 52. Favorites had a good week going 10 – 5 against the spread and 12 – 3 straight up.
Indianapolis holds on to the #1 ranking in the power ratings. The Rams are a very close second, and lo and behold, Kansas City is back up to #3.
Incredibly, The Algorithm’s complete faith in the Colts this year extends to it recommending giving up the 14.5 points to Tennessee in week 8. It thinks the spread should be around 17.5 points.
Week 7 Against The Spread 7 – 8
2025 Season 56 – 52
Algorithm Lifetime Record
2025: 56 – 52 (51.85%)
2024: 136 -128 – 8 (51.52%)
2023: 127 -103 – 10 (55.22%)
Lifetime: 319 – 283 – 18 (52.99%)
2025 NFL Week 8 Free Game Picks – Spreads – Teams – Power Ratings – Vegas Line Errors
Week 8 Line Error Picks
There are five games in week 8 with line errors larger than 4 points. However two of them come with asterix in a stats based system.
The Jets are facing the Bengals who now have Flacco, while most of their stats have been impacted by Browning’s disasterous time at the helm.
The Bears are facing the Ravens who are getting Lamar Jackson back.
Meanwhile, the Giants are getting the same 7.5 points from the Eagles they got when they beat them 31 -14 a few weeks ago. The Algorithm also like Carolina getting 7.5 from Buffalo at home, and Houston getting +1.5 at home vs San Francisco.
NY Jets (+6.5) – 5.87 points * (Against Cincinnati with Flacco)
NY Giants (+7.5) – 4.44 points
Carolina (+7.5) – 7.15 points
Chicago (+6.5) – 5.98 points * (Against Baltimore with Jackson)
Houston (+1.5) – 6.84 points
The NFLlines.com Algorithm
The NFL Lines Algorithm uses the current season NFL stats to generate power ratings for each team. Then it uses the power ratings to predict games against the Las Vegas Spread. Home teams are awarded 2.5 points for home field advantage.
Vegas spread is the line on the game. It is relative to the home team.
- A Vegas spread listed as negative means the home team is favored.
- A Vegas spread listed as positive means the home team is an underdog.
The difference between the Algorithm’s point spread and the Vegas point spread is the spread error.
- A negative spread error means the Algorithm likes the home team.
- A positive spread error means the Algortihm favors the away team.
NFL Week 7 vs. Spread
Favorites 10 – 5
Season 54 – 54
Home 9 – 5 – 1
Season 46 – 57
Neutral Games – 5 (Team Listed Home is 3 – 2)
NFL Week 7 Straight Up
Favorites 12 – 3
Season 80 – 37 – 1
Home 9 – 5 – 1
Season 59 – 44
Neutral Games – 5 (Favorites are 3 – 2)
The Algorithm bases all team power ratings and game picks on statistics only.
- The Algorithm cannot see weather.
- The Algorithm cannot see injuries.
- The Algorithm cannot see roster moves.
- The Algorithm cannot see momentum, karma, or desire.
Accumulated Stats Don’t Change Due To Injury
The Algorithm cannot do this because the statistics from last week and the week before don’t change because someone was injured.
In theory, the stats were impacted by their absence. But if you have 10 weeks of stats with a QB playing and then he is hurt in week 11, the stats of that week 11 game when blended in with the other 10 games are not diminished enough to show the true loss in team power rating.
This is why this warning is posted frequently during the season along with this advice: You should other handicapping sources and statistics in addition to The Algorithm’s ratings and picks before wagering on any of The Algorithm’s selections.
