NFL 2025 – Week 6 Games Picks Results & Spread Data
The Algorithm shifted into neutral in week 6 going 7 – 8. That brings the season record to 49 -44.
Week 6 Against The Spread 7 – 8
2025 Season 49 – 44
Algorithm Lifetime Record
2025: 49 – 44 (52.69%)
2024: 136 -128 – 8 (51.52%)
2023: 127 -103 – 10 (55.22%)
Lifetime: 312 – 275 – 18 (53.15%)
The Dogs Are Barking
So far in 2025, underdogs have come through 52.69% of the time. That is a combination of stright up wins and covers. Underdogs are winning outright 36.56% and covering 16.13% of the time.
What does that mean in betting terms? That moneyline picks on underdogs are paying off in 2025. If you like an underdog, you might want to consider forgetting the points and betting the moneyline for the bigger payoff.
Pick of the Week – NY Giants +7.5 vs Philadelphia
The Algorithm is not impressed with the Eagles in 2025, and the G-men added emphasis to that opinion with a 34 – 17 victory over Philadelphia. The Algorithm had this game as a pick’em or perhaps Philadelphia giving 0.5 point to the Giants, yet Vegas had the Birds favored by over a touchdown.
Everyone is trying to dissect the Eagles and figure out what’s wrong. What is wrong is their putrid offensive yards per play average which has been sitting in the mid 4’s, while the defense has been giving up mid 5’s. You want to lose games or just scrape by on special teams and turnovers, give up a yard more per play on defense than you generate on offense.
It is the perfect recipe for losing games and needing to get lucky.
Punk of the Week – Detroit +1.5 @ Kansas City
Someone had to go into Kansas City and feel the wrath of the Chiefs. Unfortunately for the Algorithm it was the Lions in week 6. The Chiefs had been seen as a bit of a soft touch in 2025, and the Vegas bookies reflected it. Kansas City was a home underdog already this season, and they were slim 1.5 point favorites against the Lions.
Captain reid apparently has gotten the USS Kansas City righted and the Chiefs played their most solid game of the season. For Detroit, while dissappointing, going into KC and getting a win is always going to be a big ask. The Lions just need to flush that effort and focus on winning division and conference games. A loss to an AFC powerhouse shouldn’t be any kind of worry.
NFL Week 6 vs. Spread
Favorites 6 – 9
Season 44 – 49
Home 8 – 6 – 1
Season 37 – 52
Neutral Games – 4 (Team Listed Home is 3 – 1)
NFL Week 6 Straight Up
Favorites 10 – 5
Season 58 – 34 – 1
Home 9 – 5 – 1
Season 50 – 39
Neutral Games – 4 (Underdog is 2 – 2)
