NFL 2025 – Week 1 Games Picks Results & Spread Data
The Algorithm survived the perils of week 1 (where all the picks and data are based on 2024) going 9 – 7 against the spread. In week 2, 25% of a team’s power rating will be the result of week 1 game stats.
Thus 75% of a team’s power rating is still coming from 2024 stats so be careful. Also remember that a stats based system cannot see weather or injuries, so be sure to take them into account because The Algorithm does not.
Week 1 Against The Spread 9 – 7
2025 Season 9 – 7
Algorithm Lifetime Record
2025: 9 – 7 (56.25%)
2024: 136 -128 – 8 (51.52%)
2023: 127 -103 – 10 (55.22%)
Lifetime: 272 -238 – 18 (53.53%)
NFL 2025 – Week 1 Games Picks Results & Spread Data
The Return of Captain Hook
Arrrrgh maties! Vegas had the screws turned extra tight in week 1 with FIVE, count ’em, 5 games decided by the 1/2 point hook. Falcons – Bucs, Saints – Cardinals, Jets – Steelers, Broncos – Titans, and Bills – Ravens were all terroized by the pirate this week.
The Algorithm posted losses the first two games, then pulled out the sabre and duelled Captain Hook to a 3 -2 record. There were two 1.5 point decisions, and a 2.5 point final spread making half the games nail-biters for those with a ducat or two on the games.
Pick of the Week – LA Chargers +3.5 vs Kansas City
All the Chargers needed to beat the Chiefs was to play in South America. Surely a team from Hollywood would play its best on a finely mowed Brazilian field; it’s pubic knowledge.
But the Algorithm went a step further and said, “Forget the points, the Chargers should be favored”. Anyone keen enough to spot that had themselves a nice money line winner.
Punk of the Week – Dolphins +1.5 @ Colts
Someone tell me when Miami shows up for this game. I’m still waiting…..
I know it’s only week 1, but the Dolphins offensive line looks worse than last year…and they won our coveted Golden Sieve for being the worst NFL offensive line in 2024. Tagovailoa looks shot. Tyreek looks like he checked out, and the defense looks like it stinks.
The Algorithm is taking a complete. unreserved, mea culpa on this one. It said it was distracted by attempting to calculate the average wings beats per minute of the African Swallow at the same time as picking the Dophins.
NFL Week 1 vs. Spread
Favorites 9 – 7
Season 9 – 7
Home 6 – 9
Season 6 – 9
Neutral Games – 1 (Team Listed Home is 1 – 0)
NFL Week 1 Straight Up
Favorites 14 – 2
Season 14 – 2
Home 8– 7
Season 8 – 7
Neutral Games – 1 (Underdog is 1 – 0)
